Future Retirement Success
  • Politics
  • Business
  • Investing
  • Stocks
  • Politics
  • Business
  • Investing
  • Stocks

Future Retirement Success

Stocks

Mish’s Daily: Grandpa Russell Might Be Running into Trouble

by December 14, 2022
December 14, 2022
Mish’s Daily: Grandpa Russell Might Be Running into Trouble

While we follow the Fed announcement tomorrow, we’ll closely watch Grandpa Russell’s (IWM) reaction.

As the patriarch in charge of Mish’s Modern Family, Grandpa Russell’s pricing is meticulously monitored daily and weekly. IWM is also the biggest ETF in the small-cap category, with around $56 billion in assets. IWM’s last few weeks have been characterized by price consolidation and failed attempts to make any meaningful new highs. It is trading significantly weaker than the S&P 500 and is showing substantially less strength.

Our Triple Play Leadership Indicator shows a need for more market leadership if IWM is going to break out.

Looking at the weekly chart of IWM, we can see it is barely trading above its 200-week moving average and potentially in danger of crossing below it. The weekly chart also looks like a potential head-and-shoulders, a trend reversal pattern. IWM could break the 200-week moving average and trend down further until the right shoulder is broken if this pattern is validated in the coming weeks.

The head-and-shoulders pattern would take IWM to a price in line with strong support and near pre-COVID price levels. IWM found support twice earlier this year around this area of support at 162.

Grandpa Russell is widely diversified across many sectors and represents nearly 2,000 small-cap equities, so having IWM participate in any market rise is essential for long-lasting rallies. Our proprietary Real Motion Indicator above shows that IWM’s downward momentum aligns with the current price action. In other words, additional price drops may be in store.

So, what does this ultimately imply for investors?

The takeaway is that IWM should be watched closely in the coming days, especially IWM’s weekly closing price. Although the index has the potential to reach new highs, momentum and other proprietary indicators are warning that patience is warranted. We are waiting for a solid breakout, but the price is breaking down on the weekly chart, according to our proprietary Triple Play Leadership Indicator and our Real Motion Indicator.

To better understand where IWM is going, keep a close eye on the Triple Play Leadership Indicator and our Real Motion Indicator. Pay attention to these indicators to stay on top of the market every trading day.

If you want to take advantage of our proprietary trading indicators, contact Rob Quinn, our Chief Strategy Consultant, who can provide more information about Mish’s Premium Trading Service. Click here to learn more about Mish’s Premium trading service with a complimentary one-on-one consultation.

“I grew my money tree and so can you!” – Mish Schneider

Get your copy of Plant Your Money Tree: A Guide to Growing Your Wealth and a special bonus here.

Follow Mish on Twitter @marketminute for stock picks and more. Follow Mish on Instagram (mishschneider) for daily morning videos. To see updated media clips, click here.

Mish in the Media

Mish discusses trading the Vaneck Vietname ETF ($VNM) in this appearance on Business First AM.

Mish discusses the importance of not adding trading risk into the rest of the year in this appearance on Business First AM.

Read Mish’s latest article for CMC Markets, titled “Commodities to Watch in December“.

Mish talks stagflation in her interview by Dale Pinkert during the F.A.C.E. webinar.

Watch Mish’s appearance on Business First AM here.

Mish hosted the Monday, November 28 edition of StockCharts TV’s Your Daily Five, where she covered some of the Modern Family. She also discusses the long bonds and gold with levels to clear or, fail.

Mish discusses “Macro & Market Analysis – Winning Trades in All Markets” in this appearance on the podcast The RO Show with Rosanna Prestia.

ETF Summary

S&P 500 (SPY): 397 first level of support and 404 first level of resistance. The 50-week MA looms above as overhead resistance 410. Until that clears, this could return to support at the 50-DMA or 380.Russell 2000 (IWM): 177 key support and 183 first level of resistance. Similarly, 190 is resistance and now looking at 177 as support that must hold.Dow (DIA): 337 first level of support and 344 resistance. As the only index above the 50-WMA, support at 329 is key.Nasdaq (QQQ): 284 first key level of support and 292 resistance. Still the weakest index. Hovering on major support at 278 or trouble ahead.KRE (Regional Banks): 57 key support and 63 resistance. After weeks of sideways action, last major support is at 57.00.SMH (Semiconductors): 223 support and 229-230 heavy resistance. If SMH can lead, then 230 is the place to clear and take notice.IYT (Transportation): 222 key support and 228 resistance. Another one to fail the 50-WMA.IBB (Biotechnology): 133 first level of support and 137 key resistance. This has been the year of “do not chase breakouts.” Like DIA above the 50-WMA, and will see if can hold 127 key support or break out above 137 significant overhead resistance.XRT (Retail): 63 first level of support and 67 resistance. Never got the clearance over 67.00, so now we watch 63 and 60 as strong support.

Mish Schneider

MarketGauge.com

Director of Trading Research and Education

Wade Dawson

MarketGauge.com

Portfolio Manager

0
FacebookTwitterGoogle +Pinterest
previous post
Weirdo Biden Does it Again, Interrupts His Speech and Tells Audience Members, “Don’t Jump!” (VIDEO)
next post
Inflation Rate Up 7.1% In November from One Year Ago – Still the Highest Rates Since 1982 – Joe Biden Calls This “Progress”

You may also like

The 4 Indices — More to Prove in...

April 3, 2023

Mixed Signals on the Charts? RRG Reveals Market...

May 27, 2025

The Ord Oracle May 16, 2023

May 17, 2023

Rules-Based Money Management – Part 8: Putting Trend-Following...

June 6, 2024

Dramatic Bearish Bias Shift on Major Market Indexes...

January 13, 2024

History Rhymes: 1974-1976 vs. 2022-2024?

September 19, 2023

Week Ahead: NIFTY May Stay Ranged; Trending Moves...

October 19, 2024

S&P 7000 By End of 2024?

March 27, 2024

7 New Tools to Help You Chart Highs,...

July 7, 2023

The Halftime Show: Don’t Believe Everything the Analysts...

November 9, 2023

    Get free access to all of the retirement secrets and income strategies from our experts! or Join The Exclusive Subscription Today And Get the Premium Articles Acess for Free

    By opting in you agree to receive emails from us and our affiliates. Your information is secure and your privacy is protected.

    Recent Posts

    • Gen Z workers turn back to office jobs to combat loneliness

      August 25, 2025
    • US jobs market faces ‘Trump slump’ as tariffs and cuts hit growth

      August 25, 2025
    • Royal Mail and DHL suspend US parcel deliveries as Trump tariffs take effect

      August 25, 2025
    • Farmers warn of crisis as poll shows 80% fear for survival and none back Labour

      August 25, 2025
    • TikTok cuts threaten hundreds of UK content moderator jobs amid AI shift

      August 25, 2025
    • Hospitality hit hardest as nearly 90,000 jobs lost after budget tax rises

      August 25, 2025

    Categories

    • Business (8,874)
    • Investing (2,235)
    • Politics (16,476)
    • Stocks (3,228)
    • About us
    • Privacy Policy
    • Terms & Conditions

    Disclaimer: futureretirementsuccess.com, its managers, its employees, and assigns (collectively “The Company”) do not make any guarantee or warranty about what is advertised above. Information provided by this website is for research purposes only and should not be considered as personalized financial advice. The Company is not affiliated with, nor does it receive compensation from, any specific security. The Company is not registered or licensed by any governing body in any jurisdiction to give investing advice or provide investment recommendation. Any investments recommended here should be taken into consideration only after consulting with your investment advisor and after reviewing the prospectus or financial statements of the company.

    Copyright © 2025 futureretirementsuccess.com | All Rights Reserved