Future Retirement Success
  • Politics
  • Business
  • Investing
  • Stocks
  • Politics
  • Business
  • Investing
  • Stocks

Future Retirement Success

Politics

Harris closes in on Trump in election betting markets

by July 28, 2024
July 28, 2024

Vice President Kamala Harris has gained significant ground on former President Trump in the election betting markets in the week since taking over at the top of the Democratic ticket.

Trump entered Sunday with a 54.6% to win the election, while Harris came in at 39.2%, according to the Real Clear Politics betting average, a spread of a little over 15.2 percentage points.

While the market still favors Trump, the 15-point gap represents a significant shift over the last week. On July 20, the days before President Biden announced his decision to drop out of the race, Trump had a 61% chance to win the election, the Real Clear Politics average showed, while Harris came in with an 18.2% chance and Biden had a 9.5% chance, an almost 43-point gap between Trump and his closest competitor.

A similar trend has played out on PredictIt, a New Zealand-based prediction market that offers ‘shares’ of political outcomes, with Trump shares currently selling for 54 cents on the site and Harris shares selling for 48 cents. Since shares on the platform are priced between $0.01 and $0.99, the price of the share is essentially the percentage chance an outcome will happen, meaning Trump has a 54% chance to win the election.

Harris has gained significant ground on Trump over the last week on PredictIt, the platform’s historical trends show. On July 20, Trump shares were selling for 64 cents, Harris, 27 cents, and Biden 15 cents, meaning the price to bet on Harris has closed from 37 cents to six cents over the last week.

The tightening betting markets come as polls continue to show what could be a potentially close race between Trump and Harris. According to the Real Clear Politics national average, Trump holds just a 1.7 point lead over Harris in the polls. Polls in the main battleground states have been more sparse, but also show a tight race.

The Trump and Harris campaigns did not immediately respond to a Fox News Digital request for comment.

This post appeared first on FOX NEWS
0
FacebookTwitterGoogle +Pinterest
previous post
The one characteristic of Reagan and Trump that sets them apart from other presidents
next post
Graham warns Iran could ‘sprint to a nuclear weapon’ before election, blames Biden ‘failure’

You may also like

House Republicans introduce bill to repurchase Panama Canal...

January 9, 2025

How do you solve a problem like George...

January 11, 2023

Hezbollah launches 30 rockets into Israel, no casualties...

August 12, 2024

Taiwan election: Ruling party candidate wins tightly contested...

January 14, 2024

McCarthy ally calls Gaetz an ‘a–hole’ as tensions...

October 4, 2023

Trump’s Playbook: How Putin outsmarted 4 US presidents,...

November 14, 2024

Trump to deliver first address of his second...

March 4, 2025

Wow! Man Breaks Window to Steal Car across...

October 18, 2022

Biden bites babies visiting for White House Halloween...

October 31, 2024

‘Hysteria’: White House shuts down concerns over USAID...

March 12, 2025

    Get free access to all of the retirement secrets and income strategies from our experts! or Join The Exclusive Subscription Today And Get the Premium Articles Acess for Free

    By opting in you agree to receive emails from us and our affiliates. Your information is secure and your privacy is protected.

    Recent Posts

    • Senate shuts down Kaine’s attempt to check Trump’s war powers

      June 28, 2025
    • 3 Stock Setups for the Second Half of 2025

      June 28, 2025
    • Trump touts administration’s progress on peace deals, says world leaders ‘respect our country again’

      June 27, 2025
    • Venezuelan opposition member details harrowing 400-day captivity at UN

      June 27, 2025
    • Anxious Republicans turn to Trump amid divisions over ‘big, beautiful bill’

      June 27, 2025
    • JD Vance poised to clinch victory for Trump’s landmark bill as GOP finalizes strategy

      June 27, 2025

    Categories

    • Business (8,329)
    • Investing (2,081)
    • Politics (15,842)
    • Stocks (3,176)
    • About us
    • Privacy Policy
    • Terms & Conditions

    Disclaimer: futureretirementsuccess.com, its managers, its employees, and assigns (collectively “The Company”) do not make any guarantee or warranty about what is advertised above. Information provided by this website is for research purposes only and should not be considered as personalized financial advice. The Company is not affiliated with, nor does it receive compensation from, any specific security. The Company is not registered or licensed by any governing body in any jurisdiction to give investing advice or provide investment recommendation. Any investments recommended here should be taken into consideration only after consulting with your investment advisor and after reviewing the prospectus or financial statements of the company.

    Copyright © 2025 futureretirementsuccess.com | All Rights Reserved