Future Retirement Success
  • Politics
  • Business
  • Investing
  • Stocks
  • Politics
  • Business
  • Investing
  • Stocks

Future Retirement Success

Business

Farage puts 25% odds on becoming Prime Minister within four years

by January 20, 2025
January 20, 2025
Farage puts 25% odds on becoming Prime Minister within four years

Nigel Farage, leader of Reform UK, has claimed there is a “20–25%” chance he could become prime minister in the next four years—potentially before Donald Trump leaves the White House in January—if economic turmoil triggers an early election.

Farage made the remarks in an interview for 5 News with Dan Walker, suggesting that another market-driven crisis like the one triggered under Liz Truss’s premiership could bring the current government down.

“A run on the markets can do it,” Farage said, drawing parallels with past political upheavals. “I wouldn’t put it at more than 20%, 25%, but it’s possible.”

While Farage’s estimate seems high, seasoned political commentators have explored scenarios in which the Conservative Party fragments, paving the way for Reform UK to replace it. Writing on Substack, Peter Kellner, former YouGov president, outlined a potential strategy for Farage, describing it as having “an outside chance of working – no more.” Another analyst, Sam Freedman, questioned whether Reform could “kill the Tory party” entirely, but cautioned that it would require a sustained rise in Reform’s poll numbers, a decisive swing of support from Tory donors and MPs, and ultimately success in the next general election—likely to be in 2028 or 2029.

Freedman added that under the UK’s first-past-the-post electoral system, two right-leaning parties cannot both survive long-term in direct competition, noting: “A ‘winner takes all’ system … will always end with one party being crushed or a merger.”

Still, doubts remain as to whether the backing Farage needs would materialise. The Conservative Party has proven resilient to fragmentation in the past, and Freedman cites possible negative perceptions of Farage’s association with figures such as Elon Musk as an ongoing hurdle. For now, however, Farage is talking up his chances—and the latest polling surge for Reform UK suggests Westminster should not dismiss him entirely.

Read more:
Farage puts 25% odds on becoming Prime Minister within four years

0
FacebookTwitterGoogle +Pinterest
previous post
John Fetterman and Lindsey Graham advocate for the destruction of Iran’s nuclear program
next post
Steve Bannon warns of world conflict that could be ‘Trump’s Vietnam’

You may also like

National Insurance Contributions reversal – what can employers...

September 27, 2022

Apple announces new security and privacy measures amid...

December 8, 2022

Amazon to start cutting 10,000 jobs within days

November 15, 2022

Strategies for Addressing Common Challenges in Long-Term Infusion...

July 29, 2024

UK business confidence hits twelve-month low as Autumn...

October 21, 2024

Salaries being driven down despite the cost-of-living crisis

September 15, 2022

Looking for a new place to call home...

March 14, 2024

Lack of grid capacity pushes ‘wasted wind’ costs...

March 4, 2025

‘Bridgerton Effect’ Adds £275 Million to UK Economy,...

June 16, 2024

WeightWatchers pivots from diets to drugs in UK...

May 22, 2025

    Get free access to all of the retirement secrets and income strategies from our experts! or Join The Exclusive Subscription Today And Get the Premium Articles Acess for Free

    By opting in you agree to receive emails from us and our affiliates. Your information is secure and your privacy is protected.

    Recent Posts

    • Democrats doubt Trump will secure Ukraine cease-fire in Alaska summit with Putin

      August 16, 2025
    • ‘Absolutely incredible’: B-2 bomber, F-35 escort set stage for Trump-Putin talks in Alaska

      August 16, 2025
    • Rutherford v. United States Brief: Defending the First Step Act

      August 15, 2025
    • Hawley opens probe into Meta after reports of AI romantic exchanges with minors

      August 15, 2025
    • Friday Feature: Braveheart Christian Academy

      August 15, 2025
    • From admiration to Alaska: A timeline of Trump and Putin’s high-stakes encounters

      August 15, 2025

    Categories

    • Business (8,796)
    • Investing (2,217)
    • Politics (16,394)
    • Stocks (3,228)
    • About us
    • Privacy Policy
    • Terms & Conditions

    Disclaimer: futureretirementsuccess.com, its managers, its employees, and assigns (collectively “The Company”) do not make any guarantee or warranty about what is advertised above. Information provided by this website is for research purposes only and should not be considered as personalized financial advice. The Company is not affiliated with, nor does it receive compensation from, any specific security. The Company is not registered or licensed by any governing body in any jurisdiction to give investing advice or provide investment recommendation. Any investments recommended here should be taken into consideration only after consulting with your investment advisor and after reviewing the prospectus or financial statements of the company.

    Copyright © 2025 futureretirementsuccess.com | All Rights Reserved